Post by Radrook Admin on Mar 29, 2020 11:34:04 GMT -5
Post hoc ergo propter hoc after this, therefore because..
I was locked out of Twitter several times and it seemed to trigger being locked out of this website. At least the two events sesmed causally related. But temporal priority, of course, doesn't prove causality. In fact it is the fallacy of after this therefor because of this described below..
Post hoc ergo propter hoc (Latin: "after this, therefore because of this") is an informal fallacy that states: "Since event Y followed event X, event Y must have been caused by event X." It is often shortened simply to post hoc fallacy.
A logical fallacy of the questionable cause variety, it is subtly different from the fallacy cum hoc ergo propter hoc ("with this, therefore because of this"), in which two events occur simultaneously or the chronological ordering is insignificant or unknown.
Post hoc is a particularly tempting error because correlation appears to suggest causality. The fallacy lies in a conclusion based solely on the order of events, rather than taking into account other factors potentially responsible for the result that might rule out the connection.
A simple example is "the rooster crows immediately before sunrise; therefore the rooster causes the sun to rise."
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Post_hoc_ergo_propter_hoc
A logical fallacy of the questionable cause variety, it is subtly different from the fallacy cum hoc ergo propter hoc ("with this, therefore because of this"), in which two events occur simultaneously or the chronological ordering is insignificant or unknown.
Post hoc is a particularly tempting error because correlation appears to suggest causality. The fallacy lies in a conclusion based solely on the order of events, rather than taking into account other factors potentially responsible for the result that might rule out the connection.
A simple example is "the rooster crows immediately before sunrise; therefore the rooster causes the sun to rise."
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Post_hoc_ergo_propter_hoc
It thundered and I sneezed.
Therefore the thunder caused the sneezing.
That's how superstitions arise.
Therefore the thunder caused the sneezing.
That's how superstitions arise.